Tuesday, May 5, 2020

Pizza Company Review- Free Samples

Question: Describe why the overall forecast is reasonable and how the patterns reach steady and consistent growth? Answer: Pizza company review However, the stock has run (+16% vs SP 3% since Oct) without a real change in the fundamental outlook. We rate PZZA Hold as a higher valuation will demand better visibility on international segment-level profitability. Leadership in digital provides significant tailwind: Papa Johns has one of the strongest digital ordering platforms in the segment with over 45% of sales from online/ mobile orders. These transactions drive meaningful SSS lift via an enhanced ability to market new products/ LTOs build loyalty (as seen in Papa John's strong guest satisfaction rankings), while consumers benefit from quicker ordering service vs. in-store/phone-in ordering. We think PZZA can deliver SSS outperformance over the next couple years as it leverages this competitive advantage and continues to deliver effective media initiatives and LTOs. External Drivers for the company Business growth Improved consumer spending The industry comprises establishments where consumers pay for quick-service food products that are consumed on-site, taken out or delivered. As a consumer-focused industry, fast food restaurants rely heavily on levels of consumer spending and confidence. Over the past five years, consumer spending has increased at an annual rate of 2.2% on average. As a result, this increase in consumer spending has spurred consumers to flock to fast food restaurants throughout the period, as they provided convenient meals at competitive price points. However, as consumer spending has increased, consumers have also increased visits to full service restaurants, as well, tempering industry growth somewhat over the past five years. However, the stock has run (+16% vs SP 3% since Oct) without a real change in the fundamental outlook. We rate PZZA Hold as a higher valuation will demand better visibility on international segment-level profitability. Leadership in digital provides significant tailwind: Papa Johns has one of the strongest digital ordering platforms in the segment with over 45% of sales from online/ mobile orders. These transactions drive meaningful SSS lift via an enhanced ability to market new products/ LTOs build loyalty (as seen in Papa John's strong guest satisfaction rankings), while consumers benefit from quicker ordering service vs. in-store/phone-in ordering. We think PZZA can deliver SSS outperformance over the next couple years as it leverages this competitive advantage and continues to deliver effective media initiatives and LTOs. We see potential for EPS upside as Papa John's gains share in the fragmented U.S. pizza category through accelerated growth in digital ordering, while its international business hits an inflection point emerges as a meaningful growth vehicle. However, the stock has run (+16% vs SP 3% since Oct) without a real change in the fundamental outlook. We rate PZZA Hold as a higher valuation will demand better visibility on international segment-level profitability. Leadership in digital provides significant tailwind: Papa Johns has one of the strongest digital ordering platforms in the segment with over 45% of sales from online/ mobile orders. These transactions drive meaningful SSS lift via an enhanced ability to market new products/ LTOs build loyalty (as seen in Papa John's strong guest satisfaction rankings), while consumers benefit from quicker ordering service vs. in-store/phone-in ordering. We think PZZA can deliver SSS outperformance over the next couple years as it leverages this competitive advantage and continues to deliver effective media initiatives and LTOs. However, the stock has run (+16% vs SP 3% since Oct) without a real change in the fundamental outlook. We rate PZZA Hold as a higher valuation will demand better visibility on international segment-level profitability. Leadership in digital provides significant tailwind: Papa Johns has one of the strongest digital ordering platforms in the segment with over 45% of sales from online/ mobile orders. These transactions drive meaningful SSS lift via an enhanced ability to market new products/ LTOs build loyalty (as seen in Papa John's strong guest satisfaction rankings), while consumers benefit from quicker ordering service vs. in-store/phone-in ordering. We think PZZA can deliver SSS outperformance over the next couple years as it leverages this competitive advantage and continues to deliver effective media initiatives and LTOs. Over the past five years, fast food operators have performed with varying degrees of success depending on the products they offer and their method of service. Fast casual restaurants that do not offer table service, but provide a higher quality of food and ambiance compared with traditional fast food restaurants, have been experiencing particularly strong growth over the past five years. For instance, fast casual restaurants such as Chipotle and Five Guys that offer customizable, gourmet meals have stolen market share away from operators such as McDonald's and Burger King. Additionally, with Shake Shack's Initial Public Offering (IPO) in January 2015, fast casual concepts are growing at a rapid pace and increasing their scale in order to compete more effectively with the industry's larger juggernauts. As a result, major players have introduced their own fast casual concepts. For example, Yum! Brands opened its first KFC Eleven restaurant in Louisville, KY, in 2013, offering products such as rice bowls and salads not traditionally associated with KFC. The total number of industry establishments has increased at an average annual rate of 1.7% over the five years to 2015 to 240,115 locations. We see potential for EPS upside as Papa John's gains share in the fragmented U.S. pizza category through accelerated growth in digital ordering, while its international business hits an inflection point emerges as a meaningful growth vehicle. However, the stock has run (+16% vs SP 3% since Oct) without a real change in the fundamental outlook. We rate PZZA Hold as a higher valuation will demand better visibility on international segment-level profitability. Leadership in digital provides significant tailwind: Papa Johns has one of the strongest digital ordering platforms in the segment with ove r 45% of sales from online/ mobile orders. These transactions drive meaningful SSS lift via an enhanced ability to market new products/ LTOs build loyalty (as seen in Papa John's strong guest satisfaction rankings), while consumers benefit from quicker ordering service vs. in-store/phone-in ordering. We think PZZA can deliver SSS outperformance over the next couple years as it leverages this competitive advantage and continues to deliver effective media initiatives and LTOs.

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